UM Poll Examines Economy, Elections, Job Performances

February 26, 2020

MISSOULA – The University of Montana Big Sky Poll recently asked 498 likely Montana voters their opinions on the economy, the fairness of elections and the job performance of our elected officials.

The poll asked, “In your view, is the economy improving, staying the same or getting worse?” Fifty percent of respondents said the economy was improving, 31% said it was staying the same, and 19% said it was getting worse.

When asked, “How much do you trust that elections are fair?” 30% of respondents answered “a lot of trust,” 57% responded “some trust,” and 13% responded “no trust.”

Montanans also rated the job performance of their elected officials from excellent to poor, with the results in Table 1 below.

Table 1: Elected Official Job Performance

 

Excellent

Good

Fair

Poor

President Donald Trump

32%

20%

10%

37%

Sen. Jon Tester

16%

26%

31%

27%

Sen. Steve Daines

14%

29%

36%

20%

Rep. Greg Gianforte

13%

24%

31%

32%

U.S. Congress

2%

15%

40%

43%

Gov. Steve Bullock

14%

32%

33%

21%

Montana Legislature

5%

42%

45%

9%

For presidential elections, respondents were asked, “Do you support or oppose changing to a system in which the president is elected by popular vote instead of the Electoral College?” Twenty-nine percent strongly supported change, and 28% strongly opposed.

In a series of head-to-head matchups, participants were asked to pick their preferred candidate, if the 2020 presidential election were held today. Results are listed in Table 2 below.

Table 2: Presidential Candidates, Head-to-Head Matchups

The UM Big Sky Poll was conducted online Feb. 12-22 with 498 randomly selected likely Montana voters. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.39 percentage points at a 95% confidence level.

The Big Sky Poll is directed by UM Associate Professor Sara Rinfret, chair of the Department of Public Administration and Policy, and UM marketing Associate Professor Justin Angle, in conjunction with four graduate students from UM’s public administration, law and business analytics programs. 

The survey was commissioned with support from UM’s Office of Research and Creative Scholarship, the Baucus Institute’s Department of Public Administration and Policy, and the Social Science Research Laboratory.

Use of poll findings require attribution to UM’s Big Sky Poll. Full results from the poll are available on the UM Big Sky Poll website at http://umt.edu/bigskypoll.

 

Full Results:

Table 1: Elected Officials Approval Ratings

 

Excellent

Good

Fair

Poor

President Donald Trump

32%

20%

10%

37%

Sen. Jon Tester

16%

26%

31%

27%

Sen. Steve Daines

14%

29%

36%

20%

Rep. Greg Gianforte

13%

24%

31%

32%

U.S. Congress

2%

15%

40%

43%

Gov. Steve Bullock

14%

32%

33%

21%

Montana Legislature

5%

42%

45%

9%

 

Table 2: President Trump Approval Ratings by Demographic

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Excellent

30.0%

35.8%

25.8%

40.5%

1.6%

55.7%

27.7%

Good

21.4%

19.3%

19.1%

21.6%

2.4%

32.5%

17.7%

Fair

12.1%

7.5%

9.4%

10.8%

7.3%

7.1%

14.6%

Poor

36.4%

37.3%

45.7%

27.2%

88.6%

4.7%

40.0%

 

Table 2 Cont’d., Education Level

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bach. Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Excellent

43.5%

37.9%

29.5%

26.7%

22.5%

52.6%

Good

19.4%

17.9%

26.2%

24.4%

11.3%

26.3%

Fair

12.9%

11.7%

8.2%

11.1%

7.5%

5.3%

Poor

24.2%

32.4%

36.1%

37.8%

58.8%

15.8%

 

Table 2 Cont’d., Age

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Excellent

13.5%

30.1%

33.9%

46.1%

Good

28.8%

22.9%

18.2%

13.5%

Fair

21.2%

9.0%

9.4%

7.9%

Poor

36.5%

38.0%

38.5%

32.6%

 

Table 3: Sen. Tester Approval Ratings by Demographic

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Excellent

16.7%

14.1%

15.7%

15.9%

41.0%

3.3%

10.8%

Good

26.7%

24.9%

28.5%

22.0%

45.1%

13.7%

26.2%

Fair

32.7%

28.2%

34.5%

27.6%

12.3%

41.7%

33.1%

Poor

23.8%

32.9%

21.3%

34.5%

1.6%

41.2%

30.0%

 

Table 3 Cont’d., Education Level

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bach.

Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Excellent

17.5%

10.3%

15.3%

14.2%

29.1%

5.9%

Good

19.0%

24.8%

28.8%

26.9%

22.8%

47.1%

Fair

36.5%

31.0%

37.3%

32.1%

24.1%

17.6%

Poor

27.0%

33.8%

18.6%

26.9%

24.1%

29.4%

 

Table 3 Cont’d., Age

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Excellent

3.8%

12.0%

19.9%

20.5%

Good

38.5%

28.3%

22.0%

20.5%

Fair

44.2%

36.1%

28.3%

21.6%

Poor

13.5%

23.5%

29.8%

37.5%

 

Table 4: Sen. Daines Approval Ratings by Demographic

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Excellent

12.9%

17.1%

13.2%

16.5%

0.8%

26.9%

10.0%

Good

28.9%

28.4%

25.6%

32.0%

17.2%

32.1%

34.6%

Fair

40.4%

31.3%

36.1%

36.8%

35.2%

34.9%

35.4%

Poor

17.9%

23.2%

25.2%

14.7%

46.7%

6.1%

20.0%

 

Table 4 Cont’d., Education Level

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bach. Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Excellent

15.9%

12.3%

13.6%

14.9%

17.7%

16.7%

Good

31.7%

26.0%

32.2%

32.1%

17.7%

50.0%

Fair

33.3%

46.6%

35.6%

32.1%

31.6%

22.2%

Poor

19.0%

15.1%

18.6%

20.9%

32.9%

11.1%

 

Table 4 Cont’d., Age

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Excellent

2.0%

8.5%

17.2%

28.1%

Good

29.4%

26.1%

31.8%

25.8%

Fair

52.9%

44.8%

29.7%

25.8%

Poor

15.7%

20.6%

21.4%

20.2%

 

Table 5: House Rep. Gianforte Approval Ratings by Demographic

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Excellent

11.1%

16.0%

10.2%

16.4%

0.0%

25.9%

6.9%

Good

22.9%

25.5%

22.9%

25.4%

7.4%

32.5%

26.2%

Fair

31.8%

30.2%

27.8%

34.1%

22.1%

33.5%

31.5%

Poor

34.3%

28.3%

39.1%

24.1%

70.5%

8.0%

35.4%

 

Table 5 Cont’d., Education Level

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bach. Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Excellent

14.5%

13.9%

11.7%

11.9%

13.8%

10.5%

Good

24.2%

23.6%

21.7%

30.6%

15.0%

26.3%

Fair

33.9%

34.0%

33.3%

29.9%

21.3%

36.8%

Poor

27.4%

28.5%

33.3%

27.6%

50.0%

26.3%

 

Table 5 Cont’d., Age

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Excellent

5.8%

9.0%

13.0%

25.6%

Good

19.2%

21.7%

26.6%

26.7%

Fair

40.4%

35.5%

27.1%

23.3%

Poor

34.6%

33.7%

33.3%

24.4%

 

Table 6: U.S. Congress Approval Ratings by Demographic

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Excellent

1.4%

2.8%

1.9%

1.7%

1.6%

2.8%

1.5%

Good

18.1%

10.4%

15.7%

13.9%

18.9%

15.6%

9.2%

Fair

45.6%

33.0%

41.6%

39.0%

45.9%

34.4%

40.0%

Poor

34.9%

53.8%

40.8%

45.5%

33.6%

47.2%

49.2%

 

Table 6 Cont’d., Education Level

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bach. Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Excellent

4.8%

.7%

0.0%

2.2%

1.3%

5.9%

Good

11.3%

21.4%

15.0%

8.9%

7.5%

52.9%

Fair

53.2%

35.9%

36.7%

43.7%

41.3%

17.6%

Poor

30.6%

42.1%

48.3%

45.2%

50.0%

23.5%

 

Table 6 Cont’d., Age

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Excellent

1.9%

3.0%

2.1%

0.0%

Good

34.6%

21.1%

8.3%

5.6%

Fair

48.1%

38.0%

40.9%

38.2%

Poor

15.4%

38.0%

48.7%

56.2%

 

Table 7: Gov. Bullock Approval Ratings by Demographic

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Excellent

13.9%

15.6%

15.7%

12.6%

32.8%

6.1%

10.7%

Good

33.2%

28.8%

34.1%

28.6%

45.1%

22.2%

35.9%

Fair

34.6%

29.7%

30.0%

35.9%

16.4%

40.6%

29.0%

Poor

18.2%

25.9%

20.2%

22.9%

5.7%

31.1%

24.4%

 

Table 7 Cont’d., Education Level

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bach. Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Excellent

16.4%

9.6%

13.3%

14.9%

23.8%

5.6%

Good

29.5%

27.4%

31.7%

29.1%

36.3%

66.7%

Fair

37.7%

39.0%

35.0%

34.3%

16.3%

16.7%

Poor

16.4%

24.0%

20.0%

21.6%

23.8%

11.1%

 

Table 7 Cont’d., Age

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Excellent

3.8%

13.9%

16.1%

18.0%

Good

39.6%

27.7%

32.8%

29.2%

Fair

45.3%

41.0%

25.5%

25.8%

Poor

11.3%

17.5%

25.5%

27.0%

 

Table 8: Montana Legislature Approval Ratings by Demographic

 

Overall Sample

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Excellent

4.8%

4.3%

5.7%

3.7%

6.0%

5.0%

5.7%

3.8%

Good

41.6%

45.4%

37.3%

40.1%

43.1%

42.1%

42.5%

40.8%

Fair

44.5%

44.6%

43.4%

44.9%

44.0%

38.8%

45.8%

45.4%

Poor

9.1%

5.7%

13.7%

11.2%

6.9%

14.0%

6.1%

10.0%

 

Table 8 Cont’d., Education Level

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bach. Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Excellent

11.3%

2.7%

3.4%

4.5%

3.8%

5.6%

Good

40.3%

43.8%

44.1%

39.6%

39.2%

44.4%

Fair

37.1%

46.6%

40.7%

48.5%

43.0%

44.4%

Poor

11.3%

6.8%

11.9%

7.5%

13.9%

5.6%

 

Table 8 Cont’d., Age

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Excellent

1.9%

9.0%

3.1%

2.2%

Good

50.0%

33.1%

43.5%

48.3%

Fair

42.3%

47.0%

42.9%

44.9%

Poor

5.8%

10.8%

10.5%

4.5%

 

Table 9: If the election were held today, who would you vote for?

U.S. President (asked as head-to-head matchups)

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Biden by Demographic

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Donald Trump

54.3%

59.2%

47.7%

65.9%

3.3%

93.4%

48.9%

Joe Biden

35.4%

31.5%

41.4%

25.4%

86.1%

3.8%

35.9%

Don’t Know

10.4%

9.4%

10.9%

8.6%

10.7%

2.8%

15.3%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Biden by Education Level

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bach. Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Donald Trump

64.5%

60.3%

60.0%

54.1%

38.0%

77.8%

Joe Biden

22.6%

28.1%

31.7%

36.3%

53.2%

22.2%

Don’t Know

12.9%

11.6%

8.3%

9.6%

8.9%

0.0%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Biden by Age

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Donald Trump

50.0%

55.2%

55.2%

63.6%

Joe Biden

36.5%

29.7%

37.0%

34.1%

Don’t Know

13.5%

15.2%

7.8%

2.3%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Warren by Demographic

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Donald Trump

53.4%

61.3%

47.6%

67.1%

2.5%

94.3%

50.4%

Elizabeth Warren

33.1%

33.5%

41.2%

24.2%

85.2%

2.8%

33.6%

Don’t Know

13.5%

5.2%

11.2%

8.7%

12.3%

2.8%

16.0%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Warren by Education Level

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bach. Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Donald Trump

65.6%

60.7%

56.7%

56.0%

38.8%

77.8%

Elizabeth Warren

24.6%

26.2%

33.3%

36.6%

50.0%

22.2%

Don’t Know

9.8%

13.1%

10.0%

7.5%

11.3%

0.0%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Warren by Age

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Donald Trump

44.2%

54.5%

58.9%

62.9%

Elizabeth Warren

38.5%

33.9%

33.3%

29.2%

Don’t Know

17.3%

11.5%

7.8%

7.9%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Sanders by Demographic

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Donald Trump

54.3%

59.6%

48.3%

65.8%

2.5%

94.8%

50.8%

Bernie Sanders

36.8%

31.0%

41.6%

26.0%

87.7%

1.9%

34.6%

Don’t Know

8.9%

9.4%

10.1%

8.2%

9.8%

3.3%

14.6%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Sanders by Education Level

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bach. Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Donald Trump

63.5%

60.0%

56.7%

55.6%

39.2%

77.8%

Bernie Sanders

28.6%

30.3%

30.0%

37.0%

49.4%

22.2%

Don’t Know

7.9%

9.7%

13.3%

7.4%

11.4%

0.0%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Sanders by Age

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Donald Trump

50.0%

52.7%

58.3%

62.9%

Bernie Sanders

38.5%

38.2%

33.9%

24.7%

Don’t Know

11.5%

9.1%

7.8%

12.4%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Buttigieg by Demographic

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Donald Trump

48.2%

57.1%

43.1%

61.9%

1.6%

88.7%

44.6%

Pete Buttigieg

36.8%

33.0%

42.3%

26.8%

86.1%

6.1%

36.2%

Don’t Know

15.0%

9.9%

14.6%

11.3%

12.3%

5.2%

19.2%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Buttigieg by Education Level

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bach. Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Donald Trump

59.7%

54.5%

50.8%

53.7%

32.9%

77.8%

Pete Buttigieg

16.1%

30.3%

35.6%

38.1%

57.0%

16.7%

Don’t Know

24.2%

15.2%

13.6%

8.2%

10.1%

5.6%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Buttigieg by Age

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Donald Trump

34.6%

53.3%

51.8%

58.4%

Pete Buttigieg

36.5%

29.1%

39.8%

36.0%

Don’t Know

28.8%

17.6%

8.4%

5.6%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Klobuchar by Demographic

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Donald Trump

51.1%

57.1%

44.6%

63.8%

1.6%

91.0%

47.7%

Amy Klobuchar

32.5%

29.7%

37.8%

23.7%

81.1%

3.8%

30.0%

Don’t Know

16.4%

13.2%

17.6%

12.5%

17.2%

5.2%

22.3%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Klobuchar by Education Level

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bach. Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Donald Trump

62.9%

56.6%

56.7%

51.9%

32.5%

77.8%

Amy Klobuchar

14.5%

24.1%

28.3%

36.3%

55.0%

22.2%

Don’t Know

22.6%

19.3%

15.0%

11.9%

12.5%

0.0%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Klobuchar by Age

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Donald Trump

42.3%

53.9%

53.1%

60.7%

Amy Klobuchar

25.0%

27.3%

35.4%

32.6%

Don’t Know

32.7%

18.8%

11.5%

6.7%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Bloomberg by Demographic

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Donald Trump

51.8%

58.5%

46.1%

64.2%

3.3%

91.0%

49.2%

Michael Bloomberg

31.4%

29.2%

35.6%

25.0%

76.4%

5.7%

30.8%

Don’t Know

16.8%

12.3%

18.4%

10.8%

20.3%

3.3%

20.0%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Bloomberg by Education Level

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bach. Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Donald Trump

61.3%

57.9%

56.7%

55.2%

35.4%

77.8%

Michael Bloomberg

19.4%

20.7%

30.0%

35.1%

51.9%

22.2%

Don’t Know

19.4%

21.4%

13.3%

9.7%

12.7%

0.0%

 

Table 9 Cont’d., Trump vs. Bloomberg by Age

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Donald Trump

36.5%

55.2%

55.0%

62.2%

Michael Bloomberg

30.8%

24.2%

35.6%

32.2%

Don’t Know

32.7%

20.6%

9.4%

5.6%

 

Table 10: If the Election Were Held Today, Who Would You Vote For?

U.S. Senate

 

Answer

Percentage

Steve Daines

47%

Steve Bullock

38%

Cora Neumann

7%

Wilmot Collins

4%

Mike Knoles

2%

John Mues

2%

 

Table 10 Cont’d., U.S. Senate by Demographic

 

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Steve Daines

42.5%

51.6%

39.1%

55.0%

5.0%

71.2%

50.0%

Steve Bullock

40.4%

34.7%

42.9%

32.0%

67.8%

19.3%

36.9%

Cora Neumann

7.1%

6.1%

7.5%

6.1%

14.0%

2.8%

7.7%

Wilmot Collins

5.7%

2.8%

5.6%

3.0%

9.9%

0.5%

3.8%

Mike Knoles

2.5%

2.3%

2.6%

2.2%

0.8%

3.8%

0.8%

John Mues

1.8%

2.3%

2.3%

1.7%

2.5%

2.4%

0.8%

 

Table 10 Cont’d., U.S. Senate by Education Level

 

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bach.

Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Steve Daines

51.6%

47.2%

41.7%

48.1%

38.0%

66.7%

Steve Bullock

33.9%

34.0%

45.0%

35.6%

45.6%

33.3%

Cora Neumann

6.5%

8.3%

10.0%

6.7%

5.1%

0.0%

Wilmot Collins

0.0%

5.6%

1.7%

5.2%

7.6%

0.0%

Mike Knoles

6.5%

2.8%

1.7%

1.5%

1.3%

0.0%

John Mues

1.6%

2.1%

0.0%

3.0%

2.5%

0.0%

 

Table 10 Cont’d., U.S. Senate by Age

 

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Steve Daines

39.6%

38.0%

48.2%

62.9%

Steve Bullock

39.6%

40.4%

39.3%

29.2%

Cora Neumann

7.5%

10.8%

5.2%

2.2%

Wilmot Collins

7.5%

4.2%

3.7%

4.5%

Mike Knoles

3.8%

4.2%

1.6%

0.0%

John Mues

1.9%

2.4%

2.1%

1.1%

 

Table 11: If the Election Were Held Today, Who Would You Vote For?

 

U.S. Representative

 

Answer

Percentage

Kathleen Williams

36%

Matt Rosendale

36%

Corey Stapleton

19%

Joe Dooling

3%

Tom Winter

3%

Timothy Johnson

2%

John Evankovich

2%

 

Table 11 Cont’d., U.S. Representative by Demographic

 

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Kathleen Williams

38.0%

32.5%

42.1%

28.4%

78.5%

9.0%

37.2%

Matt Rosendale

35.1%

36.8%

28.9%

43.5%

12.4%

52.4%

34.1%

Corey Stapleton

17.6%

22.2%

21.1%

17.2%

6.6%

25.5%

20.2%

Joe Dooling

2.9%

3.3%

1.9%

4.3%

0.8%

4.7%

1.6%

Tom Winter

2.2%

2.8%

1.9%

3.9%

0.8%

3.3%

3.9%

Timothy Johnson

1.8%

1.9%

1.9%

1.7%

0.8%

2.4%

1.6%

John Evankovich

2.5%

0.5%

2.3%

0.9%

0.0%

2.8%

1.6%

 

Table 11 Cont’d., U.S. Representative by Education Level

 

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc.

Degree

Bach.

Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Kathleen Williams

33.9%

24.1%

39.0%

40.3%

54.4%

11.1%

Matt Rosendale

38.7%

43.4%

32.2%

33.6%

17.7%

72.2%

Corey Stapleton

17.7%

20.7%

16.9%

19.4%

22.8%

5.6%

Joe Dooling

1.6%

3.4%

3.4%

1.5%

2.5%

11.1%

Tom Winter

3.2%

2.8%

3.4%

3.0%

1.3%

0.0%

Timothy Johnson

0.0%

3.4%

1.7%

1.5%

1.3%

0.0%

John Evankovich

4.8%

2.1%

3.4%

0.7%

0.0%

0.0%

 

Table 11 Cont’d., U.S. Representative by Age

 

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Kathleen Williams

30.8%

34.3%

39.4%

33.7%

Matt Rosendale

30.8%

41.0%

31.6%

37.1%

Corey Stapleton

17.3%

13.3%

21.2%

27.0%

Joe Dooling

7.7%

1.8%

4.1%

0.0%

Tom Winter

3.8%

4.2%

2.1%

1.1%

Timothy Johnson

5.8%

3.6%

0.0%

0.0%

John Evankovich

3.8%

1.8%

1.6%

1.1%

Table 12: If the Election Were Held Today, Who Would You Vote For?

 

Montana Governor

 

Answer

Percentage

Greg Gianforte

35%

Tim Fox

22%

Mike Cooney

21%

Whitney Williams

14%

Albert Olszewski

7%

Ron Vandevender

1%

 

Table 12 Cont’d., Montana Governor by Demographic

 

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Greg Gianforte

31.5%

40.1%

29.1%

41.4%

5.7%

56.1%

31.5%

Tim Fox

22.2%

20.8%

23.9%

19.0%

13.1%

24.1%

25.4%

Mike Cooney

21.5%

20.8%

23.1%

18.5%

40.2%

9.4%

19.2%

Whitney Williams

16.8%

9.9%

17.2%

10.8%

37.7%

0.5%

13.1%

Albert Olszewski

6.1%

8.0%

4.9%

9.5%

3.3%

7.1%

10.0%

Ron Vandevender

1.8%

0.5%

1.9%

0.9%

0.0%

2.8%

0.8%

 

Table 12 Cont’d., Montana Governor by Education Level

 

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc.

Degree

Bach.

Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Greg Gianforte

39.7%

40.7%

27.1%

34.3%

24.1%

50.0%

Tim Fox

25.4%

17.9%

22.0%

23.1%

19.0%

33.3%

Mike Cooney

19.0%

18.6%

20.3%

18.7%

35.4%

5.6%

Whitney Williams

9.5%

13.8%

15.3%

17.2%

13.9%

11.1%

Albert Olszewski

3.2%

8.3%

13.6%

5.2%

6.3%

0.0%

Ron Vandevender

3.2%

0.7%

1.7%

1.5%

1.3%

0.0%

 

Table 12 Cont’d., Montana Governor by Age

 

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Greg Gianforte

31.4%

39.2%

30.4%

40.4%

Tim Fox

25.5%

21.1%

21.5%

20.2%

Mike Cooney

13.7%

16.3%

24.6%

25.8%

Whitney Williams

19.6%

18.7%

13.1%

4.5%

Albert Olszewski

7.8%

4.2%

8.9%

6.7%

Ron Vandevender

2.0%

0.6%

1.6%

2.2%

 

Table 13: In Your View, is the Economy Improving, Staying the Same, or Getting Worse?

 

Answer

Percentage

Improving

50%

Staying the same

31%

Getting worse

19%

 

Table 13 Cont’d., Demographic

 

 

Women

Men

Urban

Rural

Dem.

Rep.

Ind.

Improving

47.1%

53.8%

45.5%

54.7%

9.0%

78.3%

45.8%

Staying the same

30.0%

33.5%

31.6%

30.6%

52.5%

17.5%

33.6%

Getting worse

22.9%

12.7%

22.9%

14.7%

38.5%

4.2%

20.6%

 

Table 13 Cont’d., Education Level

 

 

High School/

GED

Some College

Assoc. Degree

Bach. Degree

Post-Bac. (Ph.D., J.D., etc.)

Other

Improving

47.6%

54.9%

47.5%

51.5%

43.6%

38.9%

Staying the same

27.0%

22.9%

33.9%

35.1%

35.9%

50.0%

Getting worse

25.4%

22.2%

18.6%

13.4%

20.5%

11.1%

 

Table 13 Cont’d., Age

 

 

18-26

27-46

47-66

67 & Older

Improving

48.1%

38.8%

53.4%

64.0%

Staying the same

19.2%

39.4%

30.9%

22.5%

Getting worse

32.7%

21.8%

15.7%

13.5%

###

 

Contact: Sara Rinfret, associate professor and chair, UM Department of Public Administration and Policy, 406-243-4702, sara.rinfret@umontana.edu.